whale_accumulation
EXAMPLE
Examples - illustrative format
Worked examples of whale signals and follow-ups
Two example signal cards, one full lifecycle timeline. Markets, wallets, and sizes below are illustrative placeholders. Real signals appear on the free Telegram and on the track record.
Example - whale_accumulation
Sustained directional buying on one market
A single wallet repeatedly buys the same side of one market over a short window, above the rule's size threshold. The signal records wallet, market, side, detected size, entry price, and timestamp. Follow-ups extend the picture but never become new signals.
What this is and is not
- Is: a timestamped public observation of large directional BUY activity on Polymarket.
- Is not: a buy/sell instruction, an execution signal, or financial advice.
- Resolution: scored once when the market closes; unresolved markets are excluded from accuracy.
Example - large_directional_entry
A single large BUY entry above threshold
A single large entry by one wallet on one market is enough to trigger this rule when the size threshold is met. The signal is BUY-only; SELL events are rejected before evaluation.
large_directional_entry
EXAMPLE
Will [Example Candidate] win [Example Race]?
What follow-ups can look like here
- Added conviction - more BUY NO from the same wallet on the same market.
- Take-profit - SELL NO above entry, inferred from price.
- Stop-loss - SELL NO below entry, inferred from price.
- Hedge - BUY YES on the same market without closing NO.
- Reversal - close NO and open YES on the same market.
Example lifecycle - one full path
Original signal -> added conviction -> take-profit -> resolved
The original signal counts once after market resolution. The follow-ups in between describe what the wallet did, not whether the original signal was right.
Will [Example Event] happen by Q3 2026? (YES)
EXAMPLE
- 14:07:00 UTC Signal BUY YES @ 0.41 / ~$18,400 (whale_accumulation)
- 18:42:00 UTC Added conviction BUY YES @ 0.46 / ~$9,100
- +19h 08m Partial exit (take-profit) SELL YES @ 0.71 / ~$12,000 (inferred from price)
- +4d 07h 53m Market resolved YES Original signal: WON. Follow-up quality: added conviction + partial take-profit.
Why follow-ups are not new wins. The wallet's added conviction and partial
take-profit are useful context, but the headline number for accuracy is whether the original
signal direction matched the resolved market outcome. That is one count - won.
The follow-up labels are reported alongside, not instead of, the original signal.
Want to see real signals as they publish?
The free Telegram channel is the canonical timestamped record. The methodology page tells you exactly how every example on this page would be scored.